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NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Yancey County)

Current Conditions
Hawk Branch

Temp: 26.7°F
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Burnsville (Hawk Branch) , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, January 26, 2020 at 7:43PM

Dry Sunday; Mix Monday

We have a fast flow from west to east across the Southeast. Three disturbances affect our weather this week with limited effects until next weekend. Skies become overcast tonight. A rain/snow mix is possible late tonight and Monday, ending by Monday evening. Higher elevations will be primarily light snow; more rain or a slushy light snow is expected at lower elevations. Precipitation will end as snow showers Monday night. Accumulations will be elevation dependent: a dusting to 1" for most, but 1"-3" above 3800'. Another system moves through late Wednesday with flurries. A more potent system will be to our south late Friday.

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Hi: 41 Lo: 33

Overcast; Light snow or light rain possible just before sunrise; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty

Hi: 43 Lo: 29

Cloudy; Light snow or light rain changing to light snow; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty Mon. night

Hi: 43 Lo: 27

Partly cloudy; Chilly; NW wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 40 Lo: 27

Generally cloudy; PM flurries possible

Hi: 43 Lo: 27

Partly to mostly cloudy; Chilly

Further Out

Friday - Increasing clouds; Rain or a wintry mix possible Fri. night; High in the mid 40s; Low in the upper 20s
Saturday - Cloudy; Rain or a wintry mix possible; High in the upper 40s; Low in the lower 30s

Forecast Discussion

Three fast-moving systems affect our weather this week, arriving Monday, Wednesday evening, and late Friday. Each one is a forecast challenge in its own way. We have greater than average forecast uncertainty this week. Details will be impossible "until we see the whites in their eyes".

Monday's disturbance has moisture moving into marginally cold air. Skies become overcast this evening. Light snow or light rain is possible by sunrise Monday. Precipitation continues Monday, ending Monday night. Precipitation type will be elevation dependent (more snow up than down) ending as mostly snow. All of it will be light. Mountaintops could have light accumulations, valleys will struggle to hold any accumulations until evening.

Tuesday is a "tweener" with partly cloudy skies and chilly temperatures. Then the next disturbance moves through Wednesday evening. We think the surface low will be too far south to produce more than flurries or sprinkles in the afternoon and evening, but it still deserves watching.

We catch a break Thursday into Friday ahead of low pressure developing in the Gulf before moving into the Southeast. Computer guidance is all over the place. I'm steering the forecast ship for now in the middle on both timing and precipitation type... rain or a wintry mix possible Friday night into Saturday.


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